65
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Leans left
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Why this rating?
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Signals flagged in the original
- ›loaded language: 'commanding margins'
- ›loaded language: 'Paxton’s criminality or corruption'
- ›loaded language: 'personal moral failures'
- ›loaded language: 'reluctant voters'
- ›loaded language: 'disillusionment'
- ›framing: headline asserting a conclusion
- ›framing: selective emphasis on Talarico's lead and Paxton's negatives
- ›editorializing: Crucially, among Cornyn runoff voters, nearly a third (30%) say that they would vote for Talarico
Poll Shows James Talarico Leading Ken Paxton in Texas Senate Race
A recent poll by Texas Public Opinion Research shows Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton by 3 percentage points in the Texas Senate race. The survey, conducted among 1,670 likely voters, indicates significant support for Talarico among moderates and independents, with affordability being the top issue for voters. In other races, Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa for Governor, and Mayes Middleton leads Nathan Johnson for Attorney General.
People
James Talarico
Ken Paxton
Gina Hinojosa
Greg Abbott
Mayes Middleton
Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) conducted a poll from May 27 to May 28, 2026, surveying 1,670 likely voters regarding the upcoming Texas general election for U.S. Senate, Governor, and Attorney General. The poll has a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points.
The results indicate that Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton by 3 percentage points, with Talarico receiving 47% and Paxton 44%. Among undecided voters, 19% lean toward Paxton, while 17% lean toward Talarico.
The poll highlights that Talarico has significant support among moderate voters, leading by a 57-point margin (72% to 15%). He also leads among independent voters by 43 points (64% to 21%).
Key issues identified by voters include affordability and cost of living, with 23% citing it as their top priority. Voters trust Talarico more than Paxton to address these economic challenges.
In the Governor's race, Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa by 5 points (46% to 41%), while in the Attorney General's race, Mayes Middleton leads Nathan Johnson by 5 points (44% to 39%).