The Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) has reported a significant increase in fare evasion in New York City, attributing the trend to political promises of 'free buses.' MTA Chairman Janno Lieber stated that discussions around free bus services have contributed to a decline in paid ridership, which fell nearly 8% in June compared to the previous year. During the first half of 2026, bus fare revenue decreased by $31 million, with estimates indicating that almost half of bus riders are now evading the $3 fare.
Lieber did not specifically name Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who has made 'fast and free buses' a key part of his campaign, but he expressed concern over the impact of such rhetoric on fare evasion. The MTA, which is overseen by Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul, has been exploring ways to improve bus services rather than implementing fare-free policies. Union leaders, including John V. Chiarello of Transport Workers Union Local 100, have noted that fare evasion is at unprecedented levels, with some riders, including those who can afford to pay, choosing not to do so.
Experts, including Nicole Gelinas from the Manhattan Institute, have warned that making buses fare-free could cost the MTA approximately $1.1 billion annually in lost revenue, exacerbating an already projected $300 million deficit for the upcoming year. Gelinas highlighted the psychological impact of observing others evade fares, which may discourage paying riders from continuing to do so. Mamdani has defended his position by linking fare evasion to an affordability crisis affecting many New Yorkers.