A recent survey by the Reagan Institute indicates that American opinions on U.S. policy towards Iran are nearly evenly split. The survey, conducted from May 26 to June 3 among 1,555 respondents, found that 39% support a negotiated settlement that allows Iran's current government to remain in power with verifiable limits on its nuclear and missile programs, while 36% favor replacing the government with one that is more favorable to the U.S. Additionally, 16% prefer a weakened regime that remains in place but is significantly diminished, and 8% are undecided.
The survey highlights the political challenges facing President Donald Trump as his administration pursues a newly signed memorandum of understanding with Iran. This agreement aims to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions through negotiations, but public opinion remains divided on the ultimate goal of U.S. policy.
Among Republicans, there is a preference for regime change, with half of respondents supporting this option compared to 25% who favor a negotiated settlement. In contrast, a majority of Democrats (52%) prefer diplomacy, with only 25% supporting regime change. The survey results were weighted to reflect the U.S. population demographics and included an oversample of MAGA Republicans under age 30.
The memorandum establishes a 60-day negotiating period for the U.S. and Iran to reach a more comprehensive deal, addressing contentious issues including Iran's nuclear program. Trump has characterized the agreement as a way to avoid wider conflict and stabilize energy markets.