Hochul Leads Blakeman by 11 Points in New Marist Poll, Faces Challenges with Independent Voters

Governor Kathy Hochul has an 11-point lead over Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, according to a newly released Marist poll. The survey, which sampled 1,361 registered voters across New York state, shows Hochul leading with 53% of the vote compared to Blakeman's 42%. However, Blakeman has gained support among independent voters, receiving 49% compared to Hochul's 42%. In the suburbs, both candidates are in a dead heat, each receiving 48% of the vote. Hochul performed strongly in New York City, winning 69% to Blakeman's 24%. This poll reflects a similar Marist poll from 2022, which showed Hochul with a 10-point lead over her Republican opponent, then-Representative Lee Zeldin, whom she ultimately defeated by 6 points. Blakeman criticized the poll, calling it 'woke' and suggesting it favors Democrats. He expressed confidence in achieving 'record turnout' in New York City, citing his recent campaign efforts in various neighborhoods. Hochul responded to concerns about her lead, stating that a double-digit advantage is significant. A Siena University poll from last month indicated Hochul with a 9% lead, while a Quinnipiac University poll showed her with a 19% margin. The Marist poll also revealed that respondents favor national Democrats over Republicans by 55% to 42%. Regarding President Trump's influence on their congressional votes in the upcoming election, 33% of respondents indicated he is not a significant factor, while 44% stated they are voting 'against' him. Among independents, 49% said Trump does not significantly influence their vote. The survey was conducted between October 1 and October 4 and has a margin of error of 3.6%.