Fox News Poll Shows Close Iowa Senate Race Between Turek and Hinson

<p>Economic concerns and party loyalty are key factors shaping Iowa’s U.S. Senate matchup.</p><p>A Fox News statewide survey of Iowa likely voters finds Democrat Josh Turek with a two-point edge over Republican Ashley Hinson, 49% to 47%, which is within the margin of error.</p><p>Among registered voters, Turek is ahead by 4 points, 50% to 46%. This margin has remained unchanged since June.</p><p>The analysis is based on likely voter results.</p><p>Democrats show more unity behind state representative Turek (96%) compared to Republicans supporting Congresswoman Hinson (87%). Independents favor Turek by a two-to-one margin, with 10% of Republicans also backing him. Iowa's partisan structure contributes to the close race, as more voters identify as Republicans than Democrats.</p><p>Iowa voters are divided on control of the Senate: 49% prefer Democratic control while 48% favor Republican control. These numbers closely match the Senate matchup, indicating both candidates are performing near their party’s ceiling.</p><p>Turek leads by 11 points among women, 16 points in suburban areas, 17 points among voters with a college degree, and 32 points among independents.</p><p>Hinson has a 7-point advantage among men, 6 points among those without a college degree, 14 points among rural voters, and 41 points among White evangelical Christians.</p><p>Economic pressures are influencing voter preferences. In the 2024 Fox News Voter Analysis, 30% of Iowans described their families as falling behind financially, a figure that has now risen to 40%, and these voters back Turek by a 38-point margin. Conversely, those who feel financially stable (45%) and those who are getting ahead (13%) favor Hinson by 14 and 53 points, respectively.</p><p>Additionally, 60% of voters indicate that the cost of living will be extremely important to their Senate vote decision, surpassing other top issues such as President Donald Trump (43% extremely important), immigration (39% extremely), and AI technology (27% extremely).</p><p>Turek has an advantage among voters who prioritize the cost of living, Trump, and AI technology as extremely important to their vote, while those prioritizing immigration favor Hinson.</p><p>Trump won Iowa with nearly 56% of the vote in 2024. Currently, 57% of Iowa voters disapprove of his job performance, while 42% approve.</p><p>Hinson faces challenges as 50% of voters view her unfavorably, including nearly 40% who are