Donald Trump is not on the ballot in the midterm elections, but he is a central figure at the Republican Midterm Convention taking place on November 3 in Dallas. The convention, held at the American Airlines Center, aims to mobilize Trump supporters for Republican candidates. This is the first time Republicans have held such a large convention before midterm elections, a format typically reserved for presidential elections.
According to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump has an approval rating of 33%, and Democrats appear to be more energized for the upcoming elections, with nearly half of their supporters expressing enthusiasm compared to 31% of Republicans. Despite his unpopularity, Trump will appear on both nights of the convention, overshadowing the Republican candidates running for Senate and House positions. Some candidates in competitive districts are reportedly hesitant to associate closely with Trump, indicating a potential risk for their campaigns.
The convention will highlight Trump's achievements, focusing on topics such as the economy, border security, trade, and public safety. Segments like "Two Visions for America" and "The Opposition Contrast" aim to frame Democrats as a threat to Trump's policies. However, Trump's economic record faces skepticism, as a recent FT/Focaldata poll shows that nearly two-thirds of Americans believe the economy is heading in the wrong direction, and 57% feel their personal financial situation has worsened since Trump took office.
The convention program notably lacks discussion of the ongoing war with Iran, a topic Trump has previously portrayed as a success. Political scientist Sascha Lohmann suggests that Trump's speeches may lack structure and specific policy proposals. The convention also serves as a platform for Trump's Vice President JD Vance, who is expected to present himself to the MAGA audience, although he is not likely to be named as Trump's successor.
This article was originally published in German.