The FBI reported that the American murder rate fell to an estimated 4.1 per 100,000 people in 2025, matching the lowest rates recorded in 1955 and 1956. This represents a significant decrease from the peak rate of 10.2 per 100,000 in 1980. Additionally, the violent crime rate, which includes murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault, decreased by 9.7 percent, marking the largest single drop since 1936. Despite these statistics, public perception remains that crime is worsening, as indicated by Gallup polls since 1989.
In Baltimore, the murder rate has also seen a notable decline, with 133 homicides recorded in 2025, the lowest since 1977 and a 60 percent reduction from 2020. This decrease is attributed to the Group Violence Reduction Strategy initiated by Mayor Brandon Scott, which targets individuals most likely to be involved in violence and provides them with resources such as housing and job training. The Safe Streets program also plays a role by intervening in disputes to prevent shootings.
Research indicates that Baltimore's strategy has resulted in a 30 percent reduction in shootings in areas where the program was implemented. However, experts caution that the reasons behind the overall decline in crime rates across the country are not fully understood, with various factors contributing to the trend. Some suggest that broader social changes may be influencing the decline, rather than specific local initiatives.